Publications

Hypothesis Generation

Dougherty, M. R. P., Gettys, C. F., & *Thomas, R. P. (1997). The role of mental simulation in judgments of likelihood. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 70, 135 - 148. (pdf)

Dougherty, M. R. P. & *Hunter, J. E. (2003). Hypothesis generation, probability judgment and individual differences in working memory capacity. Acta Psychologica, 113, 263 – 282. (pdf)

Dougherty, M. R. P. & *Hunter, J. E. (2003). Probability judgment and subadditivity: The role of working memory capacity and constrained retrieval. Memory & Cognition, 31, 968 – 982. (pdf)

Sprenger, A. & Dougherty, M. R. (2006). Differences Between Probability and Frequency Judgments: The Role of Individual Differences in Working Memory Capacity. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 99, 202–21. (pdf)

Dougherty, M. R. & *Sprenger, A. (2006). The influence of improper sets of information on judgment: How irrelevant information can bias judged probability. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 138,  262-281. (featured in APA Monitor, June 2006) (pdf)

Thomas, R. P., Dougherty, M. R., *Sprenger, A., & Harbison, J.I. (2008). Diagnostic hypothesis generation and human judgment. Psychological Review, 115, 155 - 185. (pdf)

Probability and Frequency Judgment

Dougherty, M. R. P., Gettys, C. F., & Ogden, E. E. (1999). MINERVA-DM: A memory processes model for judgments of likelihood. Psychological Review, 106, 180 - 209. (pdf)

Dougherty, M. R. P. (2001). Integration of the ecological and error models of overconfidence using a multiple-trace memory model. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 130, 579 – 599. (pdf)

Franco-Watkins, A., Derks, P., & Dougherty, M. R. P. (2003). Choice behaviour and probability judgements in the Monty Hall problem. Thinking & Reasoning, 9, 67-90. (pdf)

Dougherty, M. R. P. & *Franco-Watkins, A. M. (2003). Reducing bias in frequency judgment by improving source monitoring. Acta Psychologica, 113, 23 – 44. (pdf)

Dougherty, M. R., *Scheck, P., Nelson, T. O. & Narens, L. (2005). Using the past to predict the future. Memory & Cognition, 33, 1096–1115. (pdf)

Sprenger, A. & Dougherty, M. R. (2006). Differences Between Probability and Frequency Judgments: The Role of Individual Differences in Working Memory Capacity. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 99, 202–21. (pdf)

Dougherty, M. R. & *Sprenger, A. (2006). The influence of improper sets of information on judgment: How irrelevant information can bias judged probability. Journal of Experimental Psychology: General, 138,  262-281. (featured in APA Monitor, June 2006) (pdf)

Barnes, K. A. & Dougherty, M. R. (2007). The effect of divided attention on the accuracy of global JOLs. American Journal of Psychology, 120, 347 – 359. (First author’s honors thesis). (pdf)

Pleskac, T., Dougherty, M. R., & Wallsten, T. (under revision). Effects of Divided Versus Full Attention on Memory and Judgment.

Dougherty, M. R., *Franco-Watkins, A. M., *Sprenger, A. M., Thomas, R. P., & *Abbs, B. (submitted). The effect of cognitive load on judgments of probability.

Dougherty, M. R., Atkins, S., & Thomas, R. (in prep). Effect of divided attention at encoding and retrieval and judgments of probability.

Heuristic Mechanisms

Dougherty, M. R., *Franco-Watkins, A., & Thomas, R. P. (2008). The psychological plausibility of fast and frugal heuristics. Psychological Review, 115, 199 - 211.(pdf)

Online supplement for Dougherty, Franco-Watkins & Thomas (2008). Psychological Review

Zipfile with Mathematica simulation code, population/citation distributions (in excel format), and data parser for filtering mathematic output

Dougherty, M. R., Thomas, R. & *Franco-Watkins, A. M. (2008). PostScript: Vague heuristics revisited. Psychological Review, 115, 211 – 213. (pdf)

Memory Theory

Gronlund, S., Ohrt, D. D., Dougherty, M. R. P., Perry, J., & Manning, C. A. (1998). Role of memory in air traffic control. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 4, 263 - 280. (pdf)

Dougherty, M. R., *Scheck, P., Nelson, T. O. & Narens, L. (2005). Using the past to predict the future. Memory & Cognition, 33, 1096–1115. (pdf)

Franco-Watkins, A. & Dougherty, M. R. (2006). Does context discrimination in recognition memory depend on the concreteness of the to-be-remembered items? Memory and Cognition,34 973 – 985. (pdf)

Dougherty, M. R. & Harbinson, J. I. (2007). Retrieval failure in memory: How long does one keep going back to the well when the well is dry? Journal of Experimental Psychology: Learning, Memory, & Cognition, 33, 1108-1117. (pdf)

Harbison, J. I., Davelaar, E. J., & Dougherty (2008 - in press). Stopping Rules and Memory Search Termination Decisions. Proceedings of the 30th Annual Cognitive Science Meeting.

Harbison, J. I., Dougherty, M. R., & Faayed, B. (submitted). On the lawfulness of the decision to terminate memory search.

Dougherty, M. R., *Franco-Watkins, A. M., *Sprenger, A. M., Thomas, R. P., & *Abbs, B. (submitted). The effect of cognitive load on judgments of probability.

Pleskac, T., Dougherty, M. R., & Wallsten, T. (under revision). Effects of Divided Versus Full Attention on Memory and Judgment.

Dougherty, M. R., Atkins, S., & Thomas, R. (in prep). Effect of divided attention at encoding and retrieval and judgments of probability.

Davelaar, E.J., Harbison, J.I., & Dougherty, M.R. (submitted - soon). An evaluation of stopping rules in models of free recall.

Attention and Information Search

Hypothesis guided visual information search. (coming soon to a journal near you)

Mood congruenency and hypothesis guided information search. (coming soon to a journal near you)

Measurement and Statistics

Thomas & Dougherty. (In preparation). On respect for data: Robust prediction in an ordinal world.

 

Applied work

Gronlund, S., Ohrt, D. D., Dougherty, M. R. P., Perry, J., & Manning, C. A. (1998). Role of memory in air traffic control. Journal of Experimental Psychology: Applied, 4, 263 - 280.

Gronlund, S. D., Canning, J. M., Moertl, P. M., Johansson, J.,  Dougherty, M. R. P., & Mills, S. H. (2002). An information organization tool for planning in air traffic control. International Journal of Aviation Psychology, 12, 377 – 390.

Moertl, P. M., Canning, J. M., Gronlund, S. D., Dougherty, M. R. P., Johansson, J. & Mills S. H. (2002). Aiding Planning in Air Traffic Control: An Experimental Investigation of the Effects of Perceptual Information Integration. Human Factors, 44, 404-412.

Gronlund, S. D., Dougherty, M. R. P., Durso, F. T., Canning, J., & Mills, S. H. (2005). Planning in air traffic control. International Journal of Aviation Psychology, 15, 269-293.

Other stuff

Durso, F. T., Hackworth, C. A., Barile, A. L., Dougherty, M. R. P., & Ohrt, D. D. (1998). Monitoring reality in cyberspace. International Journal of Cognitive Technology, 3, 32-38.

Dougherty, M. R. P., & Shanteau, J. (1999). Averaging expectancies and perceptual experiences in the assessment of quality. Acta Psychologica, 101, 49 - 67.